Thursday, March 30, 2006

Brief Survivor Episode 6 Thoughts

Before I get into the episode, some advice for CBS: Do not essentially pre-empt Survivor for 2 weeks again (the recap episode on Wednesday was a pre-emption because nobody needed to see the show).  It kills any momentum that the show has built up, and can make people forget about the show.  If you have to do a recap show and show a new episode over the two weeks.

As for the show itself, Sally should thank Casaya for shipping her off to Exile Island.  And kudos to Dan and the rest of the tribe for what was the classiest Tribal Council to ever be shown on Survivor.  It was a great contrast to somebody like a Judd.

Where do things go from here?  Well, La Mina is screwed unless they can convince somebody to flip.  If they were smart, they would talk to Bruce and try to flip him.  He's most likely to flip because of the wine incident.  And then, they should have Terry throw  the immunity challenge, making him the big target.  When Casaya votes him out, he can use the idol and they get to vote out one of the Casaya alliance (Danielle, if they were really smart).  This throws the Casaya alliance into turmoil and then La Mina can start picking people off.

With this being Survivor, La Mina is probably going to see Courtney as being disenfranchised and target her as the person to flip.  And Courtney being Courtney will run right back and tell her alliance and La Mina will get pinged off one by one (except for Terry who will just not lose an immunity challenge).

Your rankings as we head into the merge:

    1.      Terry (last week - 1)
    2.      Danielle (last week - 2)
    3.      Austin (last week - 3)
    4.      Aras (last week - 5)
    5.      Nick (last week - 4)
    6.      Cirie (last week - 7)
    7.      Sally (last week - 6)
    8.      Courtney (last week - 9)
    9.      Bruce (last week - 8)
    10.     Shane (last week - 11)

Who goes this week?  Nick.  Austin is a bit less of a physical threat, so he will likely make it to the jury.  Terry gets to survive regardless because of the immunity idol.  Sally isn't a threat to anybody.  And it's too early to turn on your own, no matter how much you want to - Casaya has at least shown themselves to not be blinded by short-term gains as opposed to long-term goals. 

Next week: A new weekly chart makes its debut!

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