Saturday, December 10, 2005

Survivor: Guatemala Episode 13 Recap

This is going to have to be a quick one due to time constraints.

Cindy did the absolute unthinkable and spat in the face of the Survivor Gods. Here's a quick list of things that will force the Survivor Gods to lash out against you:

  • Throwing a challenge to vote out a tribemate (See Survivor: Thailand and what happened to Shii-Ann and crew).

  • Becoming too arrogant about your place in the game. (The Gods will make sure that you ge struck down quickly. Best example is Survivor Marqueasas, though you can see a whole bunch of examples through out the years.)

  • Winning the car challenge

  • And now we can add...Winning the car challenge and turning down the opportunity to give up the car to have everybody else benefit.



Not that I blame Cindy for what she did. Knowing that she was kept out of the loop for the Judd elimination, she had to feel very unsafe. And that she was a challenge threat wasn't a helpful trait either. It was very likely that she would go before the final 2, so why not take the car and try to win immunity a couple of times?

So now, we've got the final 4. And for the love of god let Lydia be the one that's voted out first. She somehow made it to the final 4, and that's good enough. Anything further would be an insult to Danni, Steph and Rafe.

Who's the final 2? My pick is below, but it's a very tough call now. I could see any of Steph, Rafe and Danni making it. I'm also flip-flopping on whether Danni actually would be a deserving winner. On one hand, she worked her way into a pretty set alliance. On the other hand, it's not like she's actually won anything on her own. She's just been a stronger version of Lydia. And Steph? If she wins, then her opponent will have to have put up the most horrible Final Tribal Council showings ever. Somebody would give her the sympathy vote (Jamie?), but she is going to get beat horribly if she's in the final 2.

The lists follow:

Most likely to win if they make to win the Final 2:


LW TW
1. 1. Rafe
2. 2. Danni
4. 3. Steph
5. 4. Lydia
3. -. Cindy


(Congrats again to Lydia on moving up on this list. Wait...)

Most likely to win:

LW TW
1. 1. Rafe
2. 2. Danni
3. 3. Steph
5. 4. Lydia
4. -. Cindy



Who I want to win:

1. Steph
2. Rafe
3. Danni
(...)
(...)
(...)
(...)
(...)
(...)
(...)
4. Lydia



Final 2 prediction: Rafe over Steph (6-1)
(Ultimately, Rafe has this game figured out. He knows that the only way he doesn't make final 2 is if Danni wins the final immunity challenge. He also knows that Steph will take a fall, so he's got her all lined up for that final 2 seat.)

See you Sunday!

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