Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Survivor: Guatemala Episode 9

In what was only a slightly shocking outcome, Bobby Jon is the first member of the Survivor: Guatemala jury.  And so goes one of the classier players that was left in the game.  Heck, when he was bamboozled by Gary's Immunity find, he took it in stride and as a part of the game.  But to be honest, I'm not upset that he's gone.  Sure, it gives us more of the irritating Jamie and Judd show, but it also brings us closer to the true beginning of the game - the final 7.

How the final 7 shakes down is directly dependent on whether Gary wins immunity this week.  If he does, then Danni goes.  And then Gary will follow unless he is the second coming of Tom from last season.  If he does win at the final 7, then we get to see the explosion of Yahxa in all its glory.  Specifically, we get to see who's got more game to survive for two more weeks- Jamie or Judd.  But that's not what I'm looking to happen.

I figure that Gary is gone this week.  He's getting better editing now than he was before, ramping him up for the good send off, but I can't see them showing him flatly lying to Amy about not being an NFL quarterback if he was going to be a major factor in the final 2.  So he's gone, and you are left with the final 7:  Steph, Lydia, Rafe, Cindy, Jamie, Judd and Danni.  Logic says that Danni goes next.  But Steph et al are getting really tired of Jamie and Judd, and can easily see them as a physical threat later on.  It would make for a nice clean story for the Steph 4 if Danni were to win Immunity right when she was on the block, no?  I would guess that Jamie would go at this point, because they are nervous that he is going to ruin their game all together.  The week after, Judd would be the target (and what a fun Tribal Council it would be if Judd did not see the vote coming!)  This leaves us with a final 5 of Steph, Rafe, Lydia, Cindy and Danni.  This is where I'm a bit unsure as to what will happen next. 

The smart move would be for a final two alliance to pick up Danni and vote out somebody from the other side.  But that leaves you with somebody who's without a final two alliance _and_ angry that they are on the outside.  So logic says that Danni's gone unless she wins immunity.  Which then leaves us with Steph, Lydia, Rafe and Cindy.  I've got to assume that Steph will make the final two in this case, as she will be seen as the leader of the unholy alliance and would be "punished" for what they did. The other one? I don't know.

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