Survivor: Guatemala Thoughts (Part 2)

With the jury phase upon us, I figured it's a good time for another quick hit look at where Survivor currently stands...

• This might be one of the most unstable alliances that has ever been on Survivor.  It's not a question of if they will fall apart, but a question of when.  My guess is once Bobby Jon and Gary are gone, we are going to see 2 groups of 3 form with Danni holding the swing vote.
• Those on shaky ground:
• Bobby Jon:  Yikes.  So he's fighting with Jamie, who's on pretty solid ground with his alliance.  He's a member of the smaller tribe.  AND He's an immunity threat?  No wonder he was begging to make the jury.
• Gary:  He's in a bad position.  In order to survive he needs to keep on winning immunity.  But if he keeps on winning immunity, he's just making himself more of a target (when he might be able to skate by should Judd continue to annoy everybody).  His best bet seems to be to lose immunity this week to anybody not named Bobby Jon and then go on the greatest immunity challenge run ever seen in Survivor history.  Since this isn't Colby we're talking about, I'm guessing he's gone next week.
• Judd:  Being a loudmouth, a physical threat and annoying is not a good combination.
• Those playing the best games:
• Stephanie:  Her game has not changed much since last time around, but this time she's a part of the majority.  Her biggest test will come once all of Yaxha is gone and it's time to start picking off Nakum members.  Can she navigate her way around the resentment that comes from being the leader when somebody gets voted out?
• Cindy:  Let's run through the list (and see if I can blow up the HTML):
• Not perceived as a threat? Check. 
• Seemingly liked by everybody? Check. 
• A part of the main alliance, but not the leader? Check. 

Yup, here's your player best positioned to win if they make it to the final two.  When it gets down to the final 7, she needs to make sure she's still a part of the majority.  And she might have to win the final immunity challenge once the final three hits, but if she makes final 2, she's probably going to win.

• So what do I see as how things are going to go from here on out?  Here's a general idea:
• Final 9:  Bobby Jon voted out
• Final 8:  Gary voted out
• Final 7:  Judd voted out
• Final 6:  Jamie voted out
• Final 5:  Danni voted out
• Final 4:  Rafe voted out
• Final 3:  Cindy voted out
• Final Survivor: Stephanie wins